Evaluating the relationship between climate change, food prices, and poverty: empirical evidence from underdeveloped countries

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dc.authoridUCAR, EMINE/0000-0002-6838-3015
dc.authoridUCAR, Murat/0000-0001-9997-4267
dc.contributor.authorAcci, Yunus
dc.contributor.authorUcar, Emine
dc.contributor.authorUcar, Murat
dc.contributor.authorAcci, Reyhan Cafri
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-20T09:51:20Z
dc.date.available2025-03-20T09:51:20Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentİzmir Bakırçay Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractClimate change is a critical global issue with wide-ranging impacts, particularly on agriculture. This study examines how climate change influences food prices and poverty in underdeveloped countries. Rising temperatures and extreme weather events are diminishing agricultural productivity, leading to increased food prices and worsening poverty. The research involved developing a climate change index using an autoencoder model, which can learn the important features of data and translate it into a lower-dimensional representation. This index was based on variables such as carbon emission rates, annual average rainfall, forest cover, fossil fuel consumption, renewable energy use, and temperature changes. The relationship between this climate change index and food prices and poverty was analyzed using panel causality methods. Additionally, food prices from 2020 to 2030 were projected using various time series forecasting techniques to determine the most accurate predictive model. The findings indicate that while climate change does not significantly affect poverty when considering all countries as a panel, it does have a notable impact on food prices. This underscores the need for effective policy measures to address the effects of climate change on food costs. To mitigate these impacts, it is essential for policymakers to enhance agricultural resilience through sustainable practices and targeted interventions. Future research should expand the dataset and include a broader range of countries to gain a more comprehensive understanding of how climate change affects food prices and poverty.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10668-024-05611-4
dc.identifier.issn1387-585X
dc.identifier.issn1573-2975
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85207898042
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-05611-4
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14034/2489
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001346525400005
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironment Development and Sustainability
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WOS_20250319
dc.subjectClimate index
dc.subjectFood price prediction
dc.subjectAutoencoder
dc.subjectPanel data analysis
dc.subjectTime series forecasting
dc.titleEvaluating the relationship between climate change, food prices, and poverty: empirical evidence from underdeveloped countries
dc.typeArticle

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