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Öğe The effect of regional competitiveness operational programme on employment: an empirical assessment for the Central Anatolia of Turkey(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2021) Özdamar, Öznur; Yavuzaslan, Kiymet; Giovanis, Eleftherios; Bahceci, CansuRegional Competitiveness Operational Programme (RCOP) is one of the policies which aims to increase the competitiveness of the poorest regions of Turkey by supporting enterprises and creating employment opportunities. This study aims to investigate whether RCOP has generated more employment opportunities in the East-Central Anatolia Region compared to its neighbor called West-Central Anatolia Region. As an identification strategy, we implement Difference-in-Differences (DiD) methodology, and for the robustness check, we apply DiD with Propensity Score Matching (PSM). The entire analysis relies on data derived from the Household Labor Force Survey between 2004 and 2017. Our findings show that RCOP increased only the employment rate of young people aged between 15-24. We find no evidence of a positive effect for people over 24 years old. Governments in other countries which are also concerned about unemployment and vulnerability among youth could implement similar policies. Even though the programme has been effective in increasing the youth employment rate, the employment gap between men and women persists in favor of men in all age groups, including the youth. This finding offers an insight into the necessity of additional policies to increase female employment and close the gender gap in employment opportunities.Öğe The effect of the 2008 employment support programme on young men's labour market outcomes in Turkey: Evidence from a regression discontinuity design(Wiley, 2021) Özdamar, Öznur; Giovanis, Eleftherios; Dağlıoğlu, Cansu; Gerede, CemaleddinActive labour market policies (ALMPs), such as subsidies for wages, social security contributions (SSCs) and employment, are one of the most important tools of countries' efforts to tackle unemployment. The Turkish government launched the employment subsidy programme in 2008, aiming to decrease unemployment and to encourage formal employment by subsidizing the SSCs for relatively disadvantaged groups. The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of the 2008 policy on various labour outcomes. The entire analysis relies on micro-level panel data derived by the Survey of Income and Living Conditions over the period of 2008-2011. Young men aged between 18 and 29 years are eligible to the programme. To infer causality, we apply a regression discontinuity design analysis using as the cut-off point those who are aged 30 years. The findings show that the policy of 2008 had a positive impact on employment and the probability of being employed in the formal sector and working full time.Öğe The effect of unemployment benefits on health and living standards in Turkey: evidence from structural equation modelling and regression discontinuity design(Emerald Group Publishing Ltd, 2021) Giovanis, Eleftherios; Özdamar, Öznur; Özdaş, BurcuPurpose Unemployment can negatively affect individuals, their families and communities in various ways. When individuals are out of work may experience mental and physical health problems, material deprivation and poverty. This study aims to examine the impact of unemployment benefits on health and living standards in Turkey. Design/methodology/approach The authors employ a structural equation modelling (SEM) to consider the simultaneous relationships among the unemployment benefits and the latent variables of health and Standard of Living (SoL). We propose a fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design (FRDD) and a Regression Kink Design (RKD) within the SEM framework to infer causality. For the empirical analysis, the authors employ the panel Income and Living Conditions Survey (ILCS) in 2007-2015. Findings The authors' findings suggest that those who receive these benefits are more likely to report higher levels of health and improve their living standards compared to the non-recipients. Furthermore, unemployment benefits replacement rates are associated with improved levels in health and living standards. The authors' results indicate a substantial heterogeneity on the impact of unemployment benefits since males, low educated individuals and those belonging to the lower levels of income are affected more in terms of their health status and living standards. Originality/value The majority of earlier studies have focused on the impact of unemployment benefits on labor outcomes. The originality of this study is that we implement the FRDD and RKD within the SEM framework to explore, simultaneously, the impact of unemployment insurance on health and living standards. Moreover, future research studies can implement this framework to infer causality and explore the impact of related policies and reforms.Öğe Household disability costs and living standards in Turkey: evidence from a health reform(Emerald Group Publishing Ltd, 2021) Özdamar, Öznur; Giovanis, Eleftherios; Samuk, SahizerPurpose In this study, we attempt to estimate the disability costs of households employing the Standard of Livings (SoL) approach and evaluate the impact of the Universal health system reform implemented in Turkey in 2008. Design/methodology/approach We apply a Structural Equation Modelling (SEM), which simultaneously estimates the disability and living standard equations, including unobserved latent variables. Moreover, we apply a difference-in-differences (DiD) framework to investigate the impact of the universal health insurance (UHI) system and the Green Card programme on living standards. The empirical analysis relies on data derived from the cross-sectional Household Budget Surveys (HBS) during the period 2002-2013. Findings Our findings suggest a negative and significant impact of disability on SoL, where disability costs reach the 23% of the household income, which is equivalent almost to $2,600 (USD). Furthermore, the disability costs are reduced from $4,450 to $2,260 due to the UHI and the Green Card programme. Research limitations/implications A major limitation of the study is the data structure, which is based on repeated cross-sectional surveys. By using panel data, it is possible to follow the same individual across time and to implement panel data models to control for unobserved heterogeneity and omitted-variable bias. Social implications Disability has adverse effects on living standards. The estimation of the disability-related costs may provide a useful guide on policy planning and the design of social benefits. Originality/value The contribution of this paper is that it is the first study estimating the disability-related costs in Turkey. Furthermore, the contribution lies in the investigation of the 2008 health reform and the Green Card programme and its impact on disability costs.Öğe The impact of climate change on budget balances and debt in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region(Springer, 2022) Giovanis, Eleftherios; Özdamar, ÖznurLower tax revenues and greater government spending result in higher deficits and public debt. As a result, determining the degree of budgetary effects is vital, but important to assess the persistence of these effects. We aim to investigate the impact of climate change on the fiscal balance and public debt in the countries of the Middle East and North Africa. The empirical analysis relies on panel data in the period 1990-2019 and employs various models. The findings show that temperature changes adversely affect the government budget and increase debt, but we find no significant impact of changes in rainfall. The average temperature decreases fiscal balance by 0.3 percent and increases debt by 1.87 percent. Using projections of temperature and rainfall over the years 2020 to 2099, we find a significant decrease in the fiscal balance at 7.3 percent and an increase in the public debt at 16 percent in 2060-2079 and 18 percent in 2080-2099 under the assumption of a high greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenario. On the contrary, under the low GHG emission scenario, the fiscal balance deteriorates by 1.7 percent in 2020-2039 and 2.2 percent in 2080-2099, while public debt rises by 5 percent in 2020-2039 and 6.3 percent in 2080-2099.Öğe The impact of Syrian conflict and the refugee crisis on labour market outcomes of host countries(2021) Özdamar, Öznur; Giovanis, EleftheriosThe civil war in Syria, which started in March of 2011, has led to a massive influx of forced migration, especially from Northern Syria to the neighbouring countries. The unexpected movement of refugees has created large exogenous labour supply shocks with potentially significant effects on the labour and living standard outcomes of natives in the host countries. Using a difference-in-differences (DID) framework, this study explores the impact of Syrian refugees on labour market outcomes in Jordan and Turkey. Furthermore, we implement an instrumental variables (IV) approach within the DID framework. The results are mixed and vary, not only across the labour outcomes explored but also across demographic and socio-economic groups, as females and low educated are mainly affected by the refugee crisis negatively. Main policy implications include the design and implementation of active labour market policies, necessary measures to address the employment in the formal sector, encouraging the private sector to employ Syrian refugees in sectors where migrant workers would like to work and natives are not willing to work. Other policies include the implementation of realistic scenarios to integrate the refugees in the domestic labour market that will be beneficial for the domestic economy. Furthermore, national governments and authorities should maximize the job creation potential by collaborating with international actors. School enrollment for refugees' children and granting formal work permits to their parents are other policies that may affect natives and refugees positively.Öğe Impact of the EU Blue Card programme on cultural participation and subjective well-being of migrants in Germany(Public Library Science, 2021) Giovanis, Eleftherios; Akdede, Sacit Hadi; Özdamar, ÖznurThe first aim of this study is to investigate the role of the EU Blue Card programme implemented in 2012 in Germany. In particular, we aim to explore the impact on the participation in cultural activities of first-generation non-European Union (EU) and non-European Economic Area (EEA) migrants, such as attendance to cinema, concerts and theatre. The second aim is to examine the impact of cultural activities on subjective well-being (SWB), measured by life satisfaction. We compare the cultural participation and life satisfaction between the treatment group that is the non-EU/EEA first-generation immigrants and the control group that consists, not only of natives and second-generation immigrants but also composes of EU/EEA first-generation immigrants who are not eligible to the programme. We will apply a sharp and a fuzzy regression discontinuity design (RDD) within a seemingly unrelated regression equations (SURE) system using the Ordered Probit method. The empirical analysis relies on data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) survey over the period 2015-2018. The results show that the treated subjects experience an increase in cultural participation activities and an improvement in their SWB, as a result of the EU Blue Card programme, compared to the control group. Participation in classical music performance, opera or theatre influences more the SWB compared to other cultural activities. Policies that promote labour market integration and participation in cultural activities will enable immigrants to integrate into the social norms of the host societies and improve their SWB.Öğe Instrumental variables in structural equation modelling: an application on the impact of labour factors on health and standard of livings(Springer Heidelberg, 2022) Giovanis, Eleftherios; Özdamar, ÖznurEmployment is considered a significant determinant of living standards around the globe. For most people, work is the primary source of income, and job-related events and shocks are common causes for individuals and households to escape from poverty or fall into it. Along with employment, it is well known that the effects of health status on a worker's productivity are critical as healthy workers are more productive when they work, and they can earn more, also enhancing their standard of living. This study exploits the exogenous variations created by the employment support programmes of 2008 and 2011 implemented in Turkey, targeting women and young men. To investigate the impact of those programmes, we exploit the exogenous variations created, and we evaluate their effect on health and standard of living (SoL) through various labour factors. We apply the structural equation modelling (SEM) and estimate the additional health-related costs. Moreover, we propose an instrumental variables (IV) approach within the SEM framework to deal with the endogeneity coming from the reverse causality between labour factors, health and SoL.Öğe The nexus between business-investment climate and firm performance in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region(Emerald Group Publishing Ltd, 2022) Giovanis, Eleftherios; Özdamar, ÖznurPurpose Effective business and investment climate can lead to a higher rate of investment, profits and improved productivity, through the creation of an institutional environment, where the state provides high-quality public goods. This study aims to explore the impact of the business-investment climate on firm performance in a sample of six countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region and Turkey. Furthermore, we extend our analysis to explore the impact of business-investment climate on the resource misallocation in Egypt and Turkey. Design/methodology/approach The study used fixed effects models to investigate the relationship between the business and investment climate, expressed by the obstacles in state-business relations- and the firm performance, which is measured by the firm's value-added, the labour productivity and the total factor productivity To reduce the endogeneity coming from possible reverse causality and the perceptions about the business climate, an instrumental variables (IV) approach applying the two-stage least squares (2SLS) method was followed. The empirical analysis relies on data derived from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys. Findings Based on estimates, the obstacles in business climate may reduce the firm performance measures by 15-40%. These findings indicate the importance of quality in the business climate and how the improvement in its efficiency can have a very considerable positive impact on firms' performance and thus on the overall economic growth of a country. Originality/value This is the first study exploring the impact of business-investment climate on various measures of the firm performance and the resource misallocation in a large sample of countries in the MENA region.Öğe Productivity and resource misallocation: empirical findings from firms in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region and Turkey(2022) Özdamar, Öznur; Giovanis, EleftheriosState-Business relations (SBRs) are reflected in business and investment climate indicators and may take the form of formal, regular, and informal interactions. The creation of an institutional environment in which the state provides high-quality public goods, such as infrastructure, political stability, elimination of corruption, and effective public administration, is important because it can improve productivity and lead to higher rates of growth. Resource reallocation from low to high productivity firms can generate large aggregate productivity gains with further potential benefits to economic growth. This study examines the relationship between productivity and resource misallocation in a sample of countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, and Turkey. The analysis relies on data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys over 2008-2016 of firms in Egypt, Turkey, and Yemen. In the analysis, we control various firm characteristics. Furthermore, we explore major state-business relations (SBRs) and their association to resource misallocation. The results are mixed, wherein in Egypt and Turkey, female ownership and international quality certification are positively associated with productivity and allocation efficiency. Moreover, obstacles in SBRs present a negative and significant correlation with the firms’ performance and productivity, increasing dispersions in the resource allocation, output, and capital. We find that corruption, political instability, electricity supply, and high tax rates are the most critical obstacles in SBRs.Öğe Regional employment support programs and multidimensional poverty of youth in Turkey(Springer Heidelberg, 2021) Giovanis, Eleftherios; Özdamar, ÖznurPoverty rates amongst youth are high even in the most developed countries in the world. The aim of alleviating poverty in many nations, therefore, remains a significant issue. To comprehend the risks posed by poverty, its dimension and the process by which it can become deeper must be identified and recognized. A broad consensus among policy makers, academic and other institutions is that poverty can be a mixture of various monetary and non-monetary components. These components can limit people's capacity to achieve their ability and affect their well-being. Therefore, the socio-economic growth of a family and the increase in welfare of a country should be defined in the combination of both monetary and non-monetary aspects. In this study, we aim to estimate the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) for the young and the general population in Turkey over the period 2006-2015. The results of the study show a significant reduction in youth poverty, especially in the Eastern part of the country in the period we explore. The second aim is to evaluate the effect of the 2012 Regional Investment Incentive Scheme on the MPI of the youth population. The findings suggest that the Regional Investment Incentive Scheme had a positive impact on the poverty level in the Eastern part of Turkey, which is the major region of the policy's interest.Öğe State business relations and the dynamics of job flows in Egypt and Turkey(Springer Heidelberg, 2020) Özdamar, Öznur; Giovanis, Eleftherios; Samuk, SahizerLong-standing challenges concerning unemployment and the role of government have been the dominant underlying themes in the countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Effective State-Business Relations (SBRs) comprise a set of highly responsive and public interactions between the state and the business sector. The aim of this study is to explore the dynamics of net job creation rates in Egypt and Turkey, and the role of the SBRs, including various firm characteristics. The analysis relies on firm-level data derived from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys over the period 2008-2013. We implement the weighted ordinary least squares (OLS). Furthermore, we apply an Instrumental Variables (IV) Approach and the Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) method for robustness check, to deal with the potential endogeneity issues coming from the self-reported statements and the possible degree of reverse causality between SBRs and the main outcomes of interest. Our findings suggest four major obstacles to SBRs, with constraints of access to finance and credit and political instability being the common major obstacles in the two countries explored. Corruption and lack of proper infrastructure in electricity in Egypt are found to be the next two main obstacles in SBRs, while tax rates and competition from the informal sector are identified as the other two main obstacles in Turkey. The results show that obstacles in SBRs contribute negatively to the net job creation. According to these findings, policy implications include the need to make SBRs operate more efficiently, investments on proper infrastructure and policies that minimize corruption and political instability.Öğe Türkiye’de işsizliğin ekstra maliyeti ve işsizlik ödeneklerinin maddi yoksunluk üzerine etkisi(2021) Kılınç, Zeliha Semra; Özdamar, Öznur; Giovanis, Eleftheriosİşsizliğin yarattığı maddi kayıplar sebebiyle bireylerin yaşamlarında olumsuzluklara neden olduğu düşünülmektedir. Finansal kayıplar nedeniyle, işsizlerin maddi yoksunluğu bir işi olana kıyasla daha yüksek olabilir. Aynı standartlarda yaşayabilmek için işsiz bireyler, çalışanlara nazaran ilave maddi desteğe ihtiyaç duyabilmekte veya ekstra maliyetlere katlanmak zorunda kalabilmektedir. Bu çalışma Türkiye’de işsizliğin maddi yoksunluk üzerine etkisini ve işsiz bireylerin maddi yoksunluğu telafi etmek veya çalışanlarla aynı yaşam standardına sahip olmak için ne kadar ekstra maliyete katlanması gerektiğini ortaya koymayı amaçlamıştır. TÜİK Gelir ve Yaşam Koşulları Anketi (2013-2017) havuzlanmış yatay kesit mikro verilerinin kullanıldığı çalışmada Yaşam Standardı Yaklaşımı takip edilmiştir. Analizlerde Logit ve doğrusal regresyon modelleri tahmin edilmiştir. Bulgular, işsiz bireylerin çalışanlara kıyasla maddi yetersizlikler yüzünden daha az olasılıkla akraba ve aileleri ile sosyal aktiviteler için bir araya geldiği, daha az olasılıkla spor, sinema ve konser gibi aktivitelere para ayırabildiği ve daha az olasılıkla sadece kendileri için bir miktar parayı harcayabildiğini ortaya koymuştur. Bu bulgular bize, çalışmada Türkiye’deki işsizlik yardım ve ödeneklerinin etkinliğini araştırmayı da düşündürmüştür. İlgili sonuçlar yapılan ödemelerin bireylerin maddi yoksunluğunu azaltmada ya da yaşam standardını iyileştirmede etkisinin önemsenmeyecek küçüklükte pozitif olduğunu göstermiştir.Öğe Who is left behind? Altruism of giving, happiness and mental health during the Covid-19 period in the UK(Springer, 2020) Giovanis, Eleftherios; Özdamar, ÖznurThe UK government has decided to implement lockdown measures at the end of March 2020 as a response to the outbreak and spread of the Covid-19 pandemic. As a consequence, households have experienced job losses and a significant drop in their finances. During these unprecedented and difficult times, people provide financial assistance to those who are in need and have to cope with falls in their living standards. In this study we are interested to investigate the subjective well-being, which is expressed by mental health and components of general happiness, of the givers rather than of receivers. We apply a difference-in-differences framework to investigate the impact of altruism on the givers' SWB in the UK. Altruism is denoted by transfers made to adult children, parents, siblings, and friends. Using the DiD estimator and the estimated coefficient of the household income we calculate the implicit willingness-to-pay (WTP) for altruism. We perform various regressions by gender and racial-ethnic background using data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS). The analysis shows that altruistic behaviours impact different domains of SWB between men and women, as well as, among people with different racial-ethnic background.Öğe Youth multidimensional poverty and Its dynamics: Evidence from selected countries in the MENA region(Routledge, 2021) Özdamar, Öznur; Giovanis, EleftheriosYoung people in Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries are rarely recognized as a resource in decision-making processes and are systemically excluded from key policy areas on development. The aim of this article is to measure the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) of youth and to explore its determinants in selected countries of the MENA region. The key value-added of the MPI is that it identifies poverty in the dimensions of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, and it conveys additional information on the composition of poverty that is not captured in single-dimensional measures. © 2021 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.
